This December projection builds on the reviewed covenant rules, adding its own forecast, payment and funding permissions, and separate approval. Planning is a separately scoped evaluation; this example does not establish a customer’s position or deployment readiness.
A $3 million invoice can be settled for $2.9 million on 1 October, $2.95 million on 30 November, or $3 million on 31 December. A $3 million collection arrives on 30 November. The choice is when to pay and whether to use the quoted $2 million loan.
The $50,000 is a modeled discount, not total profit or realized savings. Existing interest is paid in either plan. The selected plan gives up $10,000 of net benefit relative to the October choice to meet the covenant. Borrowing principal is never counted as a benefit.
Paying in October without borrowing fails the cash floor. Waiting until December without borrowing also meets the limits, but loses the $50,000 November discount. All three borrowing alternatives breach the covenant. The comparison covers all six permitted payment/borrowing combinations.
What assumptions make this result possible?
Opening balances on 30 September 2026 are $18 million debt and $3 million total cash, including $1 million restricted. Unrestricted cash must remain at least $500,000 on the modeled event dates through 31 January 2027. The covenant is tested only on 31 December, after that day’s payments; January checks establish repayment and liquidity, not a second covenant test.
2026 Q1–Q3 earnings plus a separately reviewed Q4 forecast of $1 million produce $4 million base EBITDA. The retained eligible Q3 restructuring expense adds $1 million after the cap, giving $5 million adjusted EBITDA. The oldest quarter drops out. The synthetic terms exclude financing interest and payment discounts from contractual EBITDA; real agreements need their own interpretation.
Cash netting is capped at $2 million. Restrictions stay at $1 million. Existing interest is $180,000 in December and $60,000 in January; existing principal is unchanged. The new loan draws on 1 October, pays $30,000 interest in December and $10,000 in January, and repays in full on 31 January. All other flows are explicitly zero. Receipts and draws precede that day’s payments. Intraday liquidity is outside this example.
The public extract contains only synthetic financial assumptions, schedules and results. Recorded outcomes and independently worked reference cases are distinguished. It cannot establish the original approvals or reproduce the complete application run.